The short answer: not much apparently. Disappointment still reigns. And they have their own problems.
The longer answer:
four years ago, we had hope and drama. The American election was big news with signs in windows and bumper stickers on strollers. This year there has been less chatter, which I attributed to the fact I wasn't there to hear or see it. So I checked in directly on the subject with some friends a few days ago. (My favorite response came from Foxy. "[Your question] was something I raised with [FoxyMan] yesterday whilst trying out my new roller skates in the living room. I like to multi-task as you know." She also sent me the very funny Boris Johnson set for US presidential run. But I digress.)
The lack of interest is not my imagination. Other than watching for Bernanke's next move or what the First Lady wears, they aren't paying much attention. This time everyone already knows whether or not we will elect a black president. The EU and UK are "ominshambles"(M&M gave me that wonderful word). Our election isn't going to change their need for austerity, but what Bernanke does might, hence the focus on him. Plus, most of media and expats haven't considered a Romney win worth discussing. (Most, though certainly not all, expats in London are wealthy, corporate banker types from the coasts, that is, most are of the left.) They assume that Obama is going to win.
Here's the problem: at this point the spectrum of possible outcomes starts at Obama with a tight win, perhaps while losing the popular vote, to a Romney landslide. The average outcome, if you will, is a solid Romney win. A week out and a Romney win is the way to bet. Those old enough to remember say that the election feels like the run up to Reagan over Carter in 1980. The economic stress and world turmoil feel familiar. As Carter was seen as inept, so is Obama. It's the B's: Big Bird, Binders, and Bayonets and Benghazi.
And the early data does not look good for Obama—early voting, it's just a flesh wound.
Leaving aside whether you think I'm insane or not, if few across the Pond anticipate a Romney win and he does win—especially by a wide margin—the European conventional wisdom will claim Americans are crazy, religious zealots without an ounce of sense. If someone comes to that conclusion because they know what they think they know about Romney, I can't do much about that. But in most cases the crazy conclusion will be a self defense reflex against examining the current Obama assumptions. I started this blog to combat that sort of thing.
This post was a little expectation management. On election day as soon as the race is called for Romney, I will post an explanation of how Romney won. For my right leaning readers, I know, "Don't get cocky, kid." (It's a Star Wars quote. Of course I've seen it. It jumps out of the screen and I hear it every time it appears. Geek reflex and all.) Promising this post is certainly cocky, but I'm not in poll crunching or GOTV. I do expectation management inside the bubble. This situation calls for cocky.
For my left leaning readers, you can take comfort in this: I am up polishing this post at 5am because I left all the windows open on my car last night and the sprinklers flooded and fried my car. I woke in a rush when I heard the sprinklers, rushed out with towels, only to hear the static noise common in an electrical system frying. Not my best moment. You can hope that my "brilliance" runs in threes. It might. I could be wrong. But you should be prepared for a short night next Tuesday.